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Tories behind Labour in marginals new poll shows

Category: Politics

Published: 26th Mar 2010 08:00:00

The Conservatives are behind Labour in the marginal constituencies they need to win if they are gain a clear-cut victory in the next election, a new poll has revealed.

The poll, conducted by Ipsos MORI on behalf of the Reuters news agency, shows that whilst the Tories have cut Labour's lead in these constituencies the swing is not significant enough to guarantee them government in the forthcoming election.

Due to the British electoral system winning constituencies is more important than winning a majority share of the national vote.

According to the poll 41 per cent of those questioned in the marginals would vote Labour against 37 per cent who said they would vote Conservative.

Although this represents a swing of five per cent for the Conservatives since the last election in 2005, the party need between a swing between five and nine per cent to secure the crucial areas.

The poll was conducted before chancellor Alistair Darling delivered his Budget yesterday, although Reuters has claimed that voter reaction suggests the budget has had limited impact in this regard.

Helen Coombs, Ipsos MORI's deputy head of political research told Reuters: "This is very much hung parliament territory. Nevertheless, everything is still to play for, since almost half the public, and a third of those who are certain they will vote, say they may still change their mind."

The survey also showed that 75 per cent of those polled did not believe or did not realise that they lived in a marginal constituency.

Ms Combs added: "This is true, and highlights the scale of the task that the Conservatives face: to gain a majority they must be able to win in these key seats where Labour won comfortably last time and which would not conventionally be defined as marginal."

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UK Wired, 2010. Tories behind Labour in marginals new poll shows [Online] (Updated 26th Mar 2010)
Available at: http://www.ukwirednews.com/news/47358/Tories-behind-Labour-in-marginals-new-poll-shows [Accessed 22nd Aug 2014]

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