Cancer in over 65s predicted to treble by 2040
Published: 20th Aug 2012 10:53:50
Cancer will become a fact of life for many people over the age of 65, according to researchers and a cancer charity.
They say the number of elderly people who have been diagnosed with the disease will more than treble by 2040, with over one in four being affected.
In 2010, 1.3 million over 65s had cancer. The figure is predicted to reach 4.1m within 30 years.
Macmillan Cancer Support said it was a ticking time bomb for society.
Age is the biggest risk factor for cancer and greater life expectancy is expected to push up rates.
A study by King's College London inA study in the British Journal of Cancer tried to work out how common cancer would be in the future.
Across all age groups it predicted the number of cancer survivors would increase by one million every decade between 2010 and 2040 with largest increase in the over 65s.
One of the researchers, Prof Henrik Møller, said: "The research shows that large increases can be expected in the oldest age groups in the coming decades and with this an increased demand upon health services."
The study's authors concluded: "It is projected that in 2040 almost one quarter of all people in the United Kingdom aged at least 65 years will be cancer survivors.
"This result, in particular, highlights the potential for significant increases in the burden of cancer on health service and community care resources."
However, better treatments or new screening programmes could alter the estimates.
Ciaran Devane, the chief executive at Macmillan Cancer Support, described care for older patients as a "ticking time bomb for society" and the study needed to act "as a warning to the NHS".
He added: "We have a moral duty to give people the best chance of beating cancer, regardless of their age.
"For cancer survival to improve, older people must be given the right treatment at the correct level of intensity, together with the practical support to enable them to take it up.
"The barriers to older people getting treatment must be tackled. If we don't get this right now many older people will be dying unnecessarily from cancer in the future."
The Department of Health said was good news that better treatments meant more people were surviving cancer.
A spokesperson added: "From 1 October 2012, it will be unlawful to discriminate in health and social care on the basis of age.
"Adults of all ages will benefit from better access to services and for the first time people will have a legal right to redress from the courts if they are unjustifiably discriminated against because of their age."
At 17:00:25 in HealthThe chair of the panel set up to advise the NHS and ministers on the governance of patient information has told the BBC the Care.data programme was mishandled.
At 16:55:46 in SportPremier Division - 17:00 BST kick-off
At 16:55:39 in WorldPresident Abdullah Gul of Turkey appears to have ruled out a job swap with Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan when his term ends in August.
At 16:51:09 in SportCastleford consolidated their spot near the top of Super League with a 43-20 win over struggling Wakefield.
At 16:49:32 in HeadlinesA car bomb has exploded outside a mosque in the central Syrian city of Homs, killing at least 14 people.
At 16:49:23 in EntertainmentPop star Prince has a signed a major deal with Warner Bros Records, the label he famously fell out with nearly 20 years ago.
At 16:49:10 in ScotlandEmergency services have been called to a large woodland fire in Inverness.
At 16:40:11 in Northern IrelandA 46-year-old man is being treated in hospital after suffering serious face and head injuries during an assault in Belfast city centre.
At 16:38:35 in SportNorthampton Saints play Kahn Fotuali'i at scrum-half and Phil Dowson and Sam Dickinson start in the back row.
At 16:32:21 in SportNew Notts County Ladies signing Desiree Scott says she is relishing the chance of playing overseas for the first time.
Harvard CitationBBC News, 2012. Cancer in over 65s predicted to treble by 2040 [Online] (Updated 20th Aug 2012)
Available at: http://www.ukwirednews.com/news/1447115/Cancer-in-over-65s-predicted-to-treble-by-2040 [Accessed 18th Apr 2014]
News In Other Categories
The chair of the panel set up to advise the NHS and ministers on the governance of patient information has told the BBC the Care.data programme was mishandled.
President Abdullah Gul of Turkey appears to have ruled out a job swap with Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan when his term ends in August.
Pop star Prince has a signed a major deal with Warner Bros Records, the label he famously fell out with nearly 20 years ago.
The fashion house Giorgio Armani has paid 270m euros (£222m; $374m) to the Italian authorities to settle a tax bill.
Unruly. Noisy. Even rude.
With the doors to its brand new £1million training centre officially open, one of the UK's leading apprentice training providers, Bristol based S&B Automotive Academy, is showcasing its world-class facilities by launching a series of foreign student exchanges for the first time in its 41-year history. To get a flavour of what life is like as an apprentice in the UK, the Academy hosted 16 apprentice engineers and bus drivers from the G9 Automotive College in Hamburg, Germany, as part of a Europe-wide vocational training initiative called the ‘Leonardo Programme’ with support from the European Social Fund. In a reciprocal arrangement, S&B will be sending nine apprentices to Germany during February 2012 so that they can get an appreciation of life in the automotive industry on the Continent. A further three German exchange groups are being planned for next year. Designed to assist the development of vocational skills and training across Europe, including work placements for trainees, the Leonardo Programme has a budget of €1.75bn, which is helping to encourage UK organisations to work with their counterparts abroad. In what is expected to be another challenging year for employers in the UK automotive sector, S&B’s Chief Executive, Jon Winter, claims that the exchange initiative will bring many benefits to the Academy and its apprentices: “In a world of global automotive brands, it’s important for our learners to understand the international context of the industry they have chosen to make their career. This new exchange programme will enable apprentices and Academy staff alike to achieve a better understanding of the challenges and opportunities within the automotive arena in Europe. With the Academy’s influence also extending to the USA and Asia, there’s every possibility that this initiative could move further afield in the future.” Continued Winter: “The need for skilled technicians across the world is on the increase and we actively encourage our apprentices to look at broader horizons during their training. Many of them have already learned the phrase ‘Vorsprung durch Gelehrtheit’, quite simply, ‘Advancement through learning.” In the 2010/11 academic year, S&B doubled the number of successful Apprenticeships over the previous year with some 350 apprentices graduating from the Academy. At the same time, achievement levels reached an all-time high with an overall success rate of 85%. For those learners on the Advanced Apprenticeship three-year programme, success rates were even higher, at over 98%. PHOTO CAPTION: As part of their exchange visit, S&B Automotive Academy arranged for the German apprentices to visit Hampshire bus operator, Bluestar, at its Barton Park depot. The students are pictured with S&B’s Andy West (3rd right) and Steve Prewett, Bluestar’s Area Engineering Manager (2nd right). Ends http://www.sandbaa.com